011
FXUS64 KTSA 062330
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
630 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 620 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
- SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS A LIMITED RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THESE STORMS, DAMAGING WIND BEING THE
PRIMARY THREAT.
- A BRIEF PERIOD OF RELATIVELY COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED EARLY
THIS WEEK BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM BACK ABOVE AVERAGE WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH TONIGHT )
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING, MAINLY FROM SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
WILL EXIST WITH THESE STORMS, MAINLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING
WINDS. ONCE THE STORMS DISSIPATE THIS EVENING, DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, WITH LOW TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(TOMORROW THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1214 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH ONLY
LOW...BELOW MENTIONABLE LEVELS...CHANCES FOR AN ISOLATED DIURNAL
SHOWER OR STORM EACH AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.
TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, AND HEAT
HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED IN SOME PLACES, ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN BY LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE BETTER CHANCES FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO THE WEEKEND, AS A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY AT THIS TIME, BUT WILL REMAIN NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGES.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 629 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST AT THE E OK
SITES WITH SCATTERED CU DURING THE DAY TIME. AT KFSM, STORMS IN
THE VICINITY OF THE AIRPORT WILL REDUCE VSBYS AND HAVE GUSTY WINDS
FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, THEN VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. AT
KFYV, KXNA AND KROG, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
EVENING WITH STORM CHANCES TOO LOW TO MENTION. GUIDANCE IS HITTING
FOG POTENTIAL AT THESE SITES TOWARD MORNING, ESPECIALLY AT KFYV.
THIS SITE PICKED UP SOME RAIN FROM AN AFTERNOON STORM AS WELL, SO
WILL FOLLOW SUIT WITH TEMPO IFR VSBYS THERE. AT THE OTHER SITES,
WILL USE PREVAILING MVFR FOG MENTION. AFTER THE FOG BURNS OFF, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH AFTERNOON CU.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 91 71 92 72 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 95 72 93 73 / 30 20 10 0
MLC 93 70 93 71 / 20 10 10 0
BVO 90 66 91 66 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 89 66 90 66 / 20 10 10 0
BYV 89 66 88 67 / 20 10 10 0
MKO 90 70 92 71 / 10 0 0 0
MIO 89 68 90 69 / 0 0 0 0
F10 91 69 91 69 / 10 0 0 0
HHW 92 71 92 72 / 20 20 10 10
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
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