287
FXUS64 KTSA 301112
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
612 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 608 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
- HEADLINE WORTHY HEAT CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES OF 105-115F.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
THROUGH FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN PARTS OF
THE AREA. STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY DROP
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
- A COOL FRONT WILL BRING MORE PLEASANT WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2026
WHILE A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS,
THE GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON, AND AGAIN MAINLY IN THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA.
DANGEROUS HEAT WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS, WITH AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX
VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 105-110 DEGREE RANGE. A NARROW CORRIDOR OF
MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES AT OR JUST ABOVE 110 IS EXPECTED ACROSS
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA, MAINLY JUST TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE
GREATEST SHOWER AND STORM COVERAGE WILL BE, AND HAVE UPGRADED THIS
AREA TO AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING. DEPENDING ON CLOUD/PRECIPITATION
TRENDS DURING THE DAY, SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WARNING AREA MAY
BE REQUIRED.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT WED JUL 29 2026
ONE FINAL DAY OF DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED FRIDAY, WITH BOTH
TEMPERATURE AND HEAT INDEX VALUES POSSIBLY A DEGREE OR TWO HIGHER
THAN THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL HEAT HEADLINES WILL BE LIKELY FRIDAY.
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING
AS A COLD FRONT WORKS ITS WAY SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL PREVAIL OVER THE WEEKEND FOLLOWING THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT, WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND WILL THEN DEVELOP FOR NEXT WEEK, WITH TEMPERATURES
TRENDING BACK UP TO NEAR OR ABOVE THE SEASONAL AVERAGES BY THE
MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 608 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING. THE MOST LIKELY TERMINAL TO SEE IMPACTS IS
KBVO, BUT THE TULSA AREA AIRPORTS MAY ALSO SEE PASSING SHOWERS AND
STORMS. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS. STORM ACTIVITY WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ISOLATED.
OTHERWISE SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
DAY. WINDS WILL MOSTLY BE LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST,
WITH A BIT OF AFTERNOON BREEZINESS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 99 80 100 72 / 20 10 20 10
FSM 96 77 100 75 / 30 20 20 20
MLC 100 79 101 74 / 10 10 20 20
BVO 98 74 99 69 / 20 30 30 10
FYV 93 73 95 69 / 50 20 20 30
BYV 89 72 93 69 / 50 20 40 50
MKO 98 76 100 72 / 20 20 20 20
MIO 94 75 97 68 / 30 30 30 20
F10 99 77 100 72 / 10 10 20 20
HHW 99 77 100 76 / 20 20 10 20
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
OKZ058-059-063-065-068-154-172-176-272-276-376.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR OKZ049-053-055>057-060>062-064-066-067-070-071-073>075-
254-354.
AR...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ARZ129-219-220-229.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...06
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