001
FXUS64 KTSA 020527
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1227 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1226 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
- NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND PLEASANT
CONDITIONS CONTINUE SUNDAY.
- TEMPERATURES INCREASE AGAIN THIS WEEK WITH DANGEROUS HEAT
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY ONWARD.
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE FAVORED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT LOW RAIN
CHANCES MAY RETURN TO PARTS OF NE OK AND NW AR MID TO LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE THE LOCAL WEATHER. WINDS WILL
REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH FOR MUCH OF THE DAY, BUT NOTABLY LIGHTER
THAN SATURDAY. HIGHS ARE LIKELY TO LAND WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 90
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AREAWIDE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT SAT AUG 1 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL EXPAND BACK INTO THE AREA BY MONDAY AND
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
INCREASE BACK ABOVE AVERAGE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S/NEAR 100
DEGREES ARE FORECAST BY MID WEEK. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE DURING THIS TIME AND DEW POINTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
AS WELL. THIS MAY LEAD TO ANOTHER PERIOD OF DANGEROUS HEAT MID TO
LATE THIS WEEK FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA...NAMELY THE TULSA METRO
AREA AND THE AR RIVER VALLEY.
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT LOW RAIN
POTENTIAL COULD RETURN WEDNESDAY ONWARD AS UPPER TROUGHING
DEVELOPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND A COLD FRONT IS PUSHED
INTO S KS / N OK. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED DIURNAL SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS NE OK AND NW AR, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
A SERIES OF SHALLOW SHORTWAVES ROTATING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS
COULD THEN BRING SLIGHTLY BETTER RAIN AND STORM POTENTIAL
THURSDAY AND/OR FRIDAY, MAINLY NORTH OF I-40 IN THE VICINITY OF
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. AS IS TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACTS
ASSOCIATED WITH ANY CONVECTION. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
FAVOR ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND NEAR TO BELOW AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION THROUGH MID MONTH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 68 96 72 100 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 70 97 71 100 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 67 96 72 99 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 64 95 68 99 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 62 92 69 95 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 63 91 65 95 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 66 94 70 98 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 65 91 68 96 / 0 0 0 0
F10 67 96 68 99 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 68 94 71 97 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...43
LONG TERM....43
AVIATION...07
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