238  
FNUS74 KTSA 071221  
FWSTSA  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLEN CRK WF...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
721 AM CDT MON SEP 7 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM CDT THIS  
EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY, WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AROUND  
100 DEGREES. THE HOT TEMPERATURES WILL KEEP AFTERNOON RELATIVE  
HUMIDITIES IN THE 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE, ALTHOUGH SOUTHEASTERLY  
WINDS WILL REMAIN AT SPEEDS UNDER 10 MPH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, WHICH COULD  
PRODUCE A SUDDEN INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS, AS WELL AS  
ERRATIC WIND DIRECTIONS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE  
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH SUNSET. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST  
FOR TUESDAY, WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITIES AND LOWER COVERAGE OF  
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............69.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17704 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (34754 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....2.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).92.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 20 16 16 12 15 33 36 25 20  
WEATHER COV..... SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT  
TEMP............78 82 88 91 95 97 98 98 99 98  
DEWPOINT........69 70 70 70 69 69 69 68 68 68  
RH..............74 67 55 50 43 40 39 38 37 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE E SE SE E SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 1.8 3.6 5.8 7.1 7.1 6.7 5.5 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E SE E E E SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 3 5 5 6 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 18 18 18 18 35 35 35 35 35  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).88 88 88 89 90 92 94 95 96 97  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............66.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34754 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).93.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........12 10 7 6 5 4 8 6 7 12 14 13  
WEATHER COV.....SCT  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........SCT  
TEMP............96 93 87 84 83 82 81 80 79 78 76 76  
DEWPOINT........68 68 68 68 68 67 66 66 66 65 65 65  
RH..............40 44 53 59 61 61 60 62 64 64 69 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 10 10 10 11 10 10 10 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 8 8 10 10 10 11 10 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 9 10 10 9 10 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
1700FT MIX T(F).97 96 96 95 94 93 92 91 90 90 90 90  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............64.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (68852 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).94.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 4 2 2 2 1 2 4 11 14 12 5  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO  
TEMP............76 74 77 82 88 92 95 97 99 99 100 99  
DEWPOINT........64 63 64 65 65 66 66 66 65 64 63 62  
RH..............66 69 64 56 47 43 39 37 33 32 30 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.5 3.6 5.7 7.1 8.8 9.6 6.6 6.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE S S S S S SE S SE S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 8 8 7 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 35 35 35 35 35 35 69 69 69 69 69  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD  
1700FT MIX T(F).91 91 91 91 91 92 92 93 94 95 96 97  
 
 
FORECASTER...K.HATFIELD  
REQUESTED BY...K WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2621359.0/TSA  
.DELDT 09/07/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.WILSON2@USDA.GOV  
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