502
FNUS74 KTSA 102044
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE INCIDENT SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRES NEAR...DOI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
344 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FRIDAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IN AND AROUND THE BURN
AREA. WINDS START NEARLY CALM FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP. THESE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL STAY LIGHT
THROUGH THE DAYTIME. SKIES BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
REMAINING ABOVE FIFTY PERCENT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING, CAUSING WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL HIGH UNCERTAINTY, THESE STORMS ARE
FORECAST DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX OF STORMS AND MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA SATARDAY MORNING. ASSUMING THIS SCENARIO
VERIFIES, BEHIND THE COMPLEX, ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME SATURDAY. DESPITE
THE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE SEAONAL AVERAGE ON BOTH ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES, CLOUD COVER, RECENT RAINS
AND FORECAST RAIN CHANCES, THE OVERALL FIRE SPREAD RATES SHOULD
BE LOW.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............67 INCREASING TO 71 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20327 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (38688 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).87.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 60 47 36 32 29 29 31 25 27 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 69 71 76 79 82 84 87 88 89 89
DEWPOINT........66 69 71 72 71 71 71 71 70 70 70
RH..............100 100 98 86 76 69 65 59 56 54 53
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 10 8
EYE LVL WND DIR.E SE SE SE S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.3 2.8 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.4 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 26 26 26 26 26 39 39 39 39 39
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).83 83 84 84 85 85 86 88 89 91 91
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............71.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (38688 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).91.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26 11 16 6 6 13 16 29 20 20 18 24
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
TEMP............89 87 84 79 77 75 74 73 73 72 71 70
DEWPOINT........70 71 71 71 71 72 72 72 72 72 70 70
RH..............55 58 65 77 83 89 93 96 98 99 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.8 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 10 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).91 91 91 90 89 89 89 90 91 91 92 93
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............71.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (42622 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).96.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........27 36 43 41 39 33 27 21 19 18 16 14
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............70 69 71 75 79 82 85 87 90 91 92 92
DEWPOINT........70 69 71 71 72 72 72 73 72 72 71 71
RH..............100 100 100 89 81 72 66 62 57 53 51 51
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.1 3.8 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 13 13 12 10 10 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 35 35 35 35 35 35 43 43 43 43 43
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
1700FT MIX T(F).93 93 93 94 95 95 96 96 98 99 100 100
FORECASTER...B.MEJIA
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS CLAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621600.0/TSA
.DELDT 09/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS_CLAPP@IOS.DOI.GOV
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