046
FNUS74 KTSA 102109
FWSTSA
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE INCIDENT SPOT FIRE MIAMI AGENCY...DOI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
404 PM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)838-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FRIDAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IN AND AROUND THE MIAMI
AREA. WINDS WILL START NEARLY CALM FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP BY LATE IN THE MORNING. THESE SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL STAY LIGHT THROUGH THE DAYTIME. SKIES BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
REMAINING ABOVE FIFTY PERCENT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING, CAUSING WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS.
ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL HIGH UNCERTAINTY, THESE STORMS ARE
FORECAST DEVELOP INTO A COMPLEX OF STORMS AND MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA SATURDAY MORNING. ASSUMING THIS SCENARIO
VERIFIES, BEHIND THE COMPLEX, ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME SATURDAY. DESPITE
THE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES, TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE ON BOTH ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES, CLOUD COVER, RECENT RAINS
AND FORECAST RAIN CHANCES, THE OVERALL FIRE SPREAD RATES SHOULD
BE LOW.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............69.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO
8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20327 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (32786 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).81 INCREASING TO 88 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 50 32 24 33 44 35 31 41 21 19
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............68 70 73 78 81 84 85 87 88 88 89
DEWPOINT........68 69 70 71 71 71 71 70 70 69 69
RH..............100 98 91 80 70 65 62 56 55 54 52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.4 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..26 26 26 26 26 26 33 33 33 33 33
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).78 78 77 78 80 83 85 87 89 90 90
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............70.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT BECOMING
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM BECOMING LIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32786 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3278 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).88.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........13 8 13 20 27 23 14 14 19 22 17 34
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
TEMP............88 86 83 78 76 75 74 73 72 72 71 71
DEWPOINT........70 70 70 70 70 71 71 71 71 71 70 70
RH..............54 59 66 78 83 87 91 93 96 97 100 99
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3
EYE LVL WND GST.7 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 7 7 7 7 7 7 4 4 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
1700FT MIX T(F).91 91 90 89 89 88 87 86 87 87 88 89
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............71.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3934 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (45245 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).93.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12 8 14 21 27 27 27 28 28 28 28 24
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............71 70 72 77 81 84 87 89 91 93 93 93
DEWPOINT........70 70 70 71 72 72 72 72 71 70 70 70
RH..............100 100 95 84 76 66 60 57 52 49 47 48
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 7 8 8 10 8 8 8 8 7 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.7 6 7 8 8 10 8 8 8 8 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.8 4.6 5.1 4.9 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 12 10 9 9 8 8 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 36 36 36 36 36 36 45 45 45 45 45
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
1700FT MIX T(F).89 89 89 90 90 91 93 95 96 97 98 98
FORECASTER...B.MEJIA
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS CLAPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2621604.0/TSA
.DELDT 09/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS_CLAPP@IOS.DOI.GOV
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