122
FXUS64 KTSA 190424
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1124 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1114 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW FOR THE NEXT WEEK. DUE TO LIGHT WINDS FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LOW.
- A WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEEKEND, BUT OTHERWISE THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSES TO
THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. CLOUDS PLUS A LIGHT SOUTH WIND IN
SOME LOCATIONS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPS,
MAINLY IN THE 40S. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL REMAIN PRESENT MONDAY
AND THERE ARE A FEW HINTS OF LIGHT PRECIP OVER PARTS OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN VERY DRY AND WOULD NOT
ANTICIPATE MUCH MORE THAN VIRGA AND AT MOST A SPRINKLE.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A BIT WARMER, THOUGH THE CLOUD COVER WILL
HOLD THE WARM-UP IN CHECK.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION THIS WEEK, WE WILL
SEE A CONTINUED GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH DRY CONDITIONS. WIND
SPEEDS DO NOT LOOK CONCERNING AT THIS POINT IN TERMS OF FIRE
WEATHER, THOUGH HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD THERE REMAINS POTENTIAL FOR A WEAKENING
PACIFIC LOW TO EJECT INTO THE PLAINS, POSSIBLY BRINGING A CHANCE
OF RAIN NEXT WEEK, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH AT PRESENT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 553 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH LIGHT WINDS AND A FEW PASSING
HIGH CLOUDS.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 45 75 49 77 / 0 10 0 0
FSM 46 81 50 81 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 45 76 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 42 72 45 74 / 0 10 0 0
FYV 43 77 48 78 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 43 76 47 76 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 45 75 52 76 / 0 10 0 0
MIO 45 73 50 74 / 0 10 0 0
F10 44 74 49 75 / 0 10 0 0
HHW 47 79 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...30
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