535
FXUS64 KTSA 190510
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1210 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1210 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL REMAIN RATHER LOW FOR THE NEXT WEEK. DUE TO LIGHT WINDS FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LOW.
- A WEATHER SYSTEM MAY BRING A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NEXT WEEKEND, BUT OTHERWISE THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSES TO
THE NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA. CLOUDS PLUS A LIGHT SOUTH WIND IN
SOME LOCATIONS WILL RESULT IN SLIGHTLY WARMER OVERNIGHT TEMPS,
MAINLY IN THE 40S. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL REMAIN PRESENT MONDAY
AND THERE ARE A FEW HINTS OF LIGHT PRECIP OVER PARTS OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER THE LOW LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN VERY DRY AND WOULD NOT
ANTICIPATE MUCH MORE THAN VIRGA AND AT MOST A SPRINKLE.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A BIT WARMER, THOUGH THE CLOUD COVER WILL
HOLD THE WARM-UP IN CHECK.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1114 PM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH STRENGTHENS OVER THE REGION THIS WEEK, WE WILL
SEE A CONTINUED GRADUAL WARMING TREND WITH DRY CONDITIONS. WIND
SPEEDS DO NOT LOOK CONCERNING AT THIS POINT IN TERMS OF FIRE
WEATHER, THOUGH HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD THERE REMAINS POTENTIAL FOR A WEAKENING
PACIFIC LOW TO EJECT INTO THE PLAINS, POSSIBLY BRINGING A CHANCE
OF RAIN NEXT WEEK, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH AT PRESENT.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1210 AM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 75 49 77 50 / 10 0 0 0
FSM 81 50 81 51 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 76 48 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 72 45 74 46 / 10 0 0 0
FYV 77 48 78 49 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 76 47 76 48 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 75 52 76 51 / 10 0 0 0
MIO 73 50 74 50 / 10 0 0 0
F10 74 49 75 50 / 10 0 0 0
HHW 79 51 80 52 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...05
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