674
FXUS64 KTSA 230454
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1154 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1153 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
- ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- LOCALLY ENHANCED GRASSLAND FIRE SPREAD RATES POSSIBLE NORTHWEST
OF I-44 FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY LATE NEXT WEEK BUT TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY DESPITE SOME
INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL MOSTLY BE
IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ENOUGH TO THE
NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44 TO RAISE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
SOMEWHAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
THE WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK DESPITE A
CONTINUED INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PASSING TO OUR NORTH WILL RESULT IN INCREASED MID
LEVEL CLOUDINESS MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY, AND A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS MAY BRUSH THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA
DESPITE A VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIRMASS.
RAIN CHANCES DO LOOK TO INCREASE DURING THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT
WEEK ALTHOUGH MODELS DIFFER IN THE DETAILS. THE CONSENSUS SUGGESTS
THAT A FRONTAL PASSAGE IS UNLIKELY DURING THE NEXT WEEK, SO
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
THE REST OF THE MONTH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1153 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE WILL BE SOME
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD AND SOUTHERLY WINDS THAT ARE LIKELY TO STAY
BLO IMPACTFUL LEVELS.
LACY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 54 81 54 81 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 54 84 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 54 83 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 50 80 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 52 82 48 81 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 53 80 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 54 82 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 53 80 54 79 / 0 0 0 0
F10 54 82 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 53 83 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
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