874
FXUS64 KTSA 240446
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1146 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1132 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
- ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES AND PREDOMINANTLY DRY WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
- HIGHER RAIN CHANCES MAY RETURN BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK INTO THE
FOLLOWING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN SATURDAY DESPITE A
CONTINUED INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL
ONCE AGAIN REACH THE LOWER 80S IN MOST PLACES WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
WITH A COUPLE MINOR EXCEPTIONS, LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER
PATTERN IS EXPECTED UNTIL LATE NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MAY RESULT IN A FEW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHWEST PART OF
OUR FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, AND A SECOND
DISTURBANCE MAY RESULT IN A FEW MORE SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY. OTHERWISE, WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY FOR DAYTIME HIGHS. WITH LOW DEW
POINTS CONTINUING, LOWERED NIGHTTIME LOWS BELOW THE NBM THE NEXT
FEW NIGHTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE NORMALLY COLDER SPOTS.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL LOOKS TO COME AROUND NEXT
WEEKEND, AND WE MAY FINALLY GET A DECENT COLD FRONT IN HERE RIGHT
AROUND THE FIRST OF NOVEMBER, BUT WE WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND
SEE ON THAT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 551 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ANY EARLY MORNING FOG WILL BE LOCALIZED AND HIGHLY
VARIABLE WITH ANY IMPACTS EXPECTED TO BE VERY BRIEF.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TUL 55 81 55 80 / 0 0 0 0
FSM 55 83 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
MLC 55 83 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
BVO 51 80 49 79 / 0 0 0 0
FYV 54 82 45 80 / 0 0 0 0
BYV 54 81 51 80 / 0 0 0 0
MKO 55 82 52 81 / 0 0 0 0
MIO 55 80 53 79 / 0 0 0 0
F10 54 82 54 81 / 0 0 0 0
HHW 54 84 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...07
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