157
FNUS73 KUNR 071315
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHOKE CHERRY...BUREAU OF INDIAN AFFAIRS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
715 AM MDT THU AUG 7 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TODAY WILL BECOME HOT WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING IN
THE AFTERNOON AS THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPS TO AROUND 22 PERCENT.
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE FIRE TONIGHT, BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES, HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES, AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR FRIDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) BY MIDDAY. PATCHY FOG
EARLY THIS MORNING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90 53 16 15 16 19 25 25 30 30 26
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 73 77 81 86 90 95 97 97 97 97
RH..............93 81 73 62 50 39 30 27 24 23 22
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.24 25 26 25 24 23 21 20 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.8 5.1 7.4 9.7 7.4 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 25 25 24 23 21 20 18 17 16
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER 3
AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........26 23 39 38 32 30 18 17 24 25 37 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............95 91 86 82 79 77 76 73 71 68 67 66
RH..............23 29 32 37 39 40 42 48 51 61 63 65
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 13 14 15 15 14 13 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 17 20 21 23 23 21 20 18 17 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 21 23 23 23 23 22 20 18 17 17
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 71 68 60 66 59 52 52 53 53 60 68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 67 70 73 75 77 79 80 81 81 80 78
RH..............68 73 76 71 66 62 56 54 53 53 52 52
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 15 16 16 17 17 18 18 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 21 23 24 25 26 28 28 28 28 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.6 3.9 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 21 23 24 25 26 26 26 28 30 32
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
FORECASTER...MS
REQUESTED BY...COLYNN CONDON DUTY OFFICER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519270.2/UNR
.DELDT 08/07/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL COLYNN.CONDON@BIA.GOV
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