750  
FNUS73 KUNR 241245  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOOKOUT FLATS RX...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
645 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
LIGHT, TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS EXPECTED TODAY WITH WARM  
AND DRY CONDITIONS. SKIES WILL BE CLEAR WITH A DAYTIME MINIMUM RH  
AROUND 24-28%. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR (~47%) BY DAYBREAK  
SATURDAY.  
 
SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST (HIGHS AROUND 70) AND DRIEST  
(MINRH IN THE LOW 20S) DAY. LIGHTER, TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS WILL  
INCREASE AND BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER 1000-1200 SATURDAY,  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
 
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT SATURDAY (SW AT 5-10 MPH) WITH  
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY AROUND 45-50%. WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL BECOME  
WESTERLY AT 5 TO 15 MPH AS A SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL  
BE A CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT (30-40%) WITH WINDS  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY MONDAY MORNING. RAIN ACCUMULATION  
WILL BE MINIMAL (GENERALLY UNDER 0.05" OF LIQUID).  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN-DRIVEN DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT  
THE DAY; SUSTAINED AROUND 5-7 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS TO 10-15 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 TO 4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 7 4 0 5 3 4 4 6 6 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 39 43 48 54 61 62 64 65 63 62  
RH..............69 62 53 44 35 28 27 25 24 25 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 9 12 13 14 15 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.5 3.5 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W SW S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH EARLY  
IN THE EVENING. CONSIDERABLE TERRAIN VARIABILITY.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 7 7 9 9 13 5 6 4 4 5 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 52 51 50 49 48 48 47 47 47 47 47  
RH..............32 41 42 42 44 44 44 45 45 47 45 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 12 12 13 14 14 14 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 12 12 13 13 14 14 14 14  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTS UP TO 22  
MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 TO 3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 4 8 3 2 3 3 4 4 5 8 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 47 50 53 59 63 65 68 69 69 67 64  
RH..............47 44 41 38 30 26 24 21 21 21 22 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 16 18 20 21 22 22 20 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.9 2.8 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13 15 16 18 20 20 20 17 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...EW  
REQUESTED BY...KENN PERREAULT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524203.3/UNR  
.DELDT 10/24/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAN_SWANSON@NPS.GOV,KENN_PERREAULT@NPS.GOV  
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