242  
FNUS73 KUNR 241255  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITHOGRAPH RX...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
655 AM MDT FRI OCT 24 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
SATURDAY WILL BE WARM AND DRY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S  
AND AFTERNOON RHS DROPPING TO 24-29%. LIGHTER, TERRAIN-DRIVEN  
WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER 1000-1200  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
 
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT SATURDAY (SW AT 5-10 MPH,  
GUSTING TO 18 MPH) WITH OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY AROUND 45-50%. WINDS  
ON SUNDAY WILL BECOME WESTERLY AT 10 TO 15 MPH, GUSTING UP TO 25  
MPH AS A SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR  
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT (30-40%) WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST BY MONDAY MORNING. RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE  
MINIMAL (GENERALLY UNDER 0.05" OF LIQUID).  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT, TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 1000-1200. STRONGEST WINDS ON  
EXPOSED, UPPER SLOPES.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 TO 3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 2 4 5 6 7 9 10 14 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 49 55 59 61 63 64 64 63 60  
RH..............45 42 34 29 27 25 24 24 25 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 14 16 17 20 20 20 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 2.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 13 15 16 17 18 17 16  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........23 26 30 33 34 36 37 42 47 52 58 63  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 55 53 51 50 49 48 47 47 47 46 46  
RH..............32 35 36 39 42 44 47 47 47 45 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 18 18 18 17 17 17 16 16 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 14 13  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
INCREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 TO 7500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 25 TO  
35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO  
40 TO 45 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING  
TO 25 TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 63 58 52 52 53 53 47 41 35 39 44  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 47 48 50 53 55 57 59 59 59 57 54  
RH..............49 49 49 48 43 40 35 32 30 29 31 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 17 20 21 23 24 25 25 25 24 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 2.3 3.5 4.7 5.6 6.6 7.5 5.1 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 18 25 33 39 43 43 39 33 25  
 
 
FORECASTER...EW  
REQUESTED BY...DAN SWANSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524149.3/UNR  
.DELDT 10/24/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAN_SWANSON@NPS.GOV,ERIC_ROTHLEUTNER@NPS.GOV  
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