797  
FNUS73 KUNR 242048  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHENK CANYON RX...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
248 PM MDT FRI OCT 24 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. A  
SWITCH IN DIRECTION TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION IS EXPECTED TO  
OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST (HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S) AND DRIEST  
(MINRH IN THE LOW 20S) DAY. LIGHTER, TERRAIN-DRIVEN WINDS WILL  
INCREASE AND BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY AFTER 1000-1200 SATURDAY,  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
 
WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT SATURDAY (SW AT 5-10 MPH) WITH  
OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY AROUND 50-55%. WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL BECOME  
WESTERLY AT 5 TO 15 MPH AS SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THERE WILL  
BE A CHANCE FOR RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS SUNDAY NIGHT (30-40%) WITH WINDS  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST BY MONDAY MORNING. RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATION  
WILL BE MINIMAL (GENERALLY UNDER 0.05" OF LIQUID).  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH DECREASING TO  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 TO 4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 2 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............60 61 59  
RH..............29 28 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 2.6 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
EAST EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 5  
TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 4 4 2 4 3 5 10 4 6 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 51 49 49 49 48 47 46 46 46 45 44  
RH..............38 42 44 42 42 46 47 49 49 49 47 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW E E NE NE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 3 5 5 5 6 6 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 TO 3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 7 6 1 4 4 1 1 2 6 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 44 45 51 56 59 61 63 64 65 64 63  
RH..............47 49 47 41 35 29 28 26 24 24 25 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE E S SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 6 7 8 9 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 5 5 5 8 9 12 13 15 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.7 3.3 3.9 2.8 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E NE N N W SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 5 7 9 13 15 17 17 16 14  
 

 
FORECASTER...NWS  
REQUESTED BY...NATE WIEDOW  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2524407.0/UNR  
.DELDT 10/24/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NWIEDOW@BLM.GOV  
 
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