135  
FNUS73 KUNR 151704  
FWSUNR  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR THORN DIVIDE RX BURN...MOORCROFT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD  
1004 AM MST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON NOVEMBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A SEASONABLE AND MAINLY DRY WEEKEND IS IN STORE ACROSS  
THE FIRE AREA WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO  
15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON TODAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO  
AROUND 45% UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. THE SAME WILL HOLD TRUE FOR  
SUNDAY AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHEASTERLY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY  
SKIES. MINIMUM RH VALUES ON SUNDAY WILL FALL TO AROUND 40% WITH  
INCREASING CLOUDINESS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS AN INCREASING  
RISK OF RAINFALL (PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 40%) AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY  
NIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 TO 5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.  
 
TIME (MST) 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........35 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0  
TEMP............49 57  
RH..............68 46  
20 FT WIND......S 5G10 W 7G14  
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 5100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9 W 17  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM  
SKY (%).........17 15 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............47 39 35  
RH..............60 79 89  
20 FT WIND......S 2G3 S 2G3 S 2G3  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 W 7 S 9  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 TO 3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 20  
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY (%).........45 34 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............33 50 59  
RH..............97 57 42  
20 FT WIND......S 3G8 SE 8G14 S 10G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1400 3000  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 16 S 25  
 
 
FORECASTER...DH  
REQUESTED BY...TRACE J BLAKEMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525999.0/UNR  
.DELDT 11/15/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRACEBLAKEMAN32@GMAIL.COM  
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