005
FNUS73 KUNR 162030
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR ANTIHORSE RX UNIT QUEBEC...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
130 PM MST MON FEB 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MST ON FEBRUARY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST TUESDAY
DISCUSSION
MILD AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AT TIMES DUE TO WARM TEMPERATURES, DRY AIR, AND GUSTY WINDS.
A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST TUESDAY.
FOR THE REST OF TODAY, EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A HIGH TEMPERATURE
AROUND 54F AND HUMIDITY DROPPING TO AROUND 23 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE ON
THE LIGHTER SIDE IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS AROUND 15 MPH POSSIBLE.
TONIGHT, EXPECT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS IN THE EVENING WITH LIGHTER WIND
GUSTS, GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR, ONLY
CLIMBING UP TO AROUND 44 PERCENT OVERNIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURE WILL DIP TO
THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S.
TUESDAY, A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST, DUE TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. GOOD MIXING WILL BRING
STRONG WEST WINDS BEGINNING AROUND 9 TO 10 A.M. AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS TIMEFRAME.
HIGH TEMPERATURE IN THE LOW 50S IS EXPECTED WITH RH DROPPING TO THE LOW 20S.
CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING
IS POSSIBLE. WETTING RAIN IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
TUESDAY EVENING (AROUND 4 TO 6 P.M.), A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO COME THROUGH,
BRINGING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND IT, RESULTING IN A COOLING TREND AND
INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES MID-WEEK.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20
MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
TIME (MST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54 64 55 51
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 53 54 51
RH..............27 24 23 27
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.9 3.5 2.7 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 13 13
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........44 31 44 44 35 44 29 29 30 27 33 42
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............48 47 46 45 45 44 43 43 42 41 40 39
RH..............30 31 32 33 33 35 38 38 39 41 44 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 20 18 17 17 15 14 13 13 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 18 20 18 17 16 15 14 13 14
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO
THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 25 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 41 MPH LATE IN THE
MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 TO 8900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 TO
11000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO
WEST 40 TO 45 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 50 TO 60 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........62 64 76 65 52 64 46 31 58 79 67 66
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 42 44 45 47 48 49 50 50 48 46 44
RH..............43 43 41 41 38 33 28 24 22 23 25 28
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 10 14 18 21 23 24 26 25 25 25
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 17 23 30 35 37 39 41 41 41 37
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 2.5 4.4 6.0 6.8 8.9 11 8.9 6.9 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 21 26 32 39 45 49 54 56 58 56 55
FORECASTER...CS
REQUESTED BY...HAYDEN HOELSCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602744.5/UNR
.DELDT 02/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TODD.HOOVER@USDA.GOV,HAYDEN.HOELSCHER@USDA.GOV,RYAN.HAM@USDA.GOV
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