459
FNUS73 KUNR 162052
FWSUNR
SPOT FORECAST FOR KENNEDY FIRE...GREAT PLAINS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
252 PM MDT THU APR 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT THAT IS ON THE FIRE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND WILL SURGE SOUTHWARD BY EVENING. ERRATIC WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND GUSTY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
WITH RAIN THIS EVENING CHANGING TO SNOW OVERNIGHT. THERE IS A VERY
LOW CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON. LIQUID EQUIVALENT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WILL BE AROUND 0.10" WITH
WETTING RAIN CHANCES AROUND 60 PERCENT. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS
THAN ONE-HALF INCH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....ALREADY OCCURRED IN THE UPPER 60S. STEADY OR
SLOWLY FALLING FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5-15 MPH BECOMING
NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS 15-25 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11400 TO 11900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO GOOD LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55 65 75
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 20
TEMP............68 65 62
RH..............18 23 28
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.26 25 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...12 4.6 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 21 16
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 TO 1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RS SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
TEMP............54 48 44 40 36 34 32 31 30 29 29 28
RH..............44 59 71 79 82 82 82 81 78 78 72 71
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 22 22 23 23 23 22 22 22 22 22
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N NW NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 18 24 29 29 28 25 25 24 24 23 22
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS 25-30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 40
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........93 95 97 93 90 91 87 79 68 60 60 60
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............27 27 28 29 32 34 35 36 36 36 38 36
RH..............68 65 63 60 53 47 43 42 40 40 32 33
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 22 23 24 26 26 28 28 29 30 31
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.6 5.4 5.9 6.4 7.0 6.6 6.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 25 28 28 28 28 30 32 35 37 38
FORECASTER...EH
REQUESTED BY...DALE RUHOFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610563.0/UNR
.DELDT 04/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CASEY.GLINES@STATE.SD.US,SDGPC@FIRENET.GOV,JEREMY.DALMAN@USDA.GOV
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