702  
ACUS11 KWNS 071306  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 071306  
OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-071700-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2215  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0706 AM CST THU NOV 07 2024  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST NM...EXTREME NORTHWEST TX PANHANDLE...FAR  
WESTERN OK PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST CO  
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW  
 
VALID 071306Z - 071700Z  
 
SUMMARY...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL (I.E. RATES  
EXCEEDING 1"/HR.) ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NM AND  
EASTERN CO, AND INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF WESTERN KS AND THE WESTERN  
TX/OK PANHANDLE THROUGH THE MORNING.  
 
DISCUSSION...RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NOTABLE BAROCLINIC  
LEAF ACROSS NORTHEAST NM AND EASTERN CO, DOWNSTREAM OF A DEEP UPPER  
LOW CENTERED OVER AZ. THIS SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS FAVORING STRONG  
MID-LEVEL WARM-AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR OF THIS CYCLONE,  
CONTRIBUTING TO A BROAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS MUCH OF  
CENTRAL/EASTERN NM AND EASTERN CO, AND INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF  
WESTERN KS AND THE WESTERN TX/OK PANHANDLES. THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES  
FROM EAST-CENTRAL NM NORTHWARD ARE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW, AND RECENT  
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW IS ONGOING  
ACROSS THE REGION. THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY  
EASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WITH THE SLOW MOTION OF WILL KEEP MUCH  
OF THIS REGION IN A FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR CONTINUED MODERATE TO  
HEAVY SNOW, WITH SNOWFALL RATES OCCASIONALLY TOPPING 1" PER HOUR  
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. THE MID-LEVEL WARM-AIR ADVECTION IS  
CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED ACROSS NORTHEAST NM, SUGGESTING THE HEAVIEST  
SNOWFALL IS MOST LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHEAST CO FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  
 
..MOSIER.. 11/07/2024  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT  
 
ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...  
 
LAT...LON 37950413 39090394 39290264 38250206 36540236 35730337  
35760453 37950413  
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