663
FNUS22 KWNS 161849
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 PM CST SAT NOV 16 2024
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
THE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND HAS
BEEN MAINTAINED FOR THIS UPDATE DESPITE RECENT HIGH-RES GUIDANCE
SUGGESTING WIND SPEEDS WILL BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER COMPARED TO TODAY
(SATURDAY) DURING PEAK HEATING. THE RISK AREA HAS BEEN SPATIALLY
REDUCED TO HIGHLIGHT AREAS WHERE ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS THE BEST
SIGNAL FOR RH VALUES NEAR 20% (NAMELY PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHERN NY,
CT, AND NORTHERN NJ). THIS REGION SHOULD ALSO SEE THE DEEPEST
BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING AND THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 15 MPH. ADDITIONALLY, FUELS REMAIN CRITICALLY DRY AND SHOULD
SUPPORT SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERN.
..MOORE.. 11/16/2024
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1140 PM CST FRI NOV 15 2024/
..SYNOPSIS
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DEPARTS THE NORTHEAST, SHORTWAVE RIDGING
WILL BUILD IN ON SUNDAY. ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC, MODELS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR RH IN THE
20-30% RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DURING
THE MORNING, BUT THIS WILL ALSO BE OFFSET FROM THE LOWEST RH.
LOCALLY ELEVATED TO PERHAPS ELEVATED CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE,
THOUGH SUCH CONDITIONS MAY BE VERY BRIEF. VERY DRY FUELS WILL
SUPPORT FIRE SPREAD WHERE THE DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALIGN MOST
FAVORABLY.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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