385
FNUS22 KWNS 171902
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0101 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2024
VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
THE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO AREAS INTRODUCED.
CONSIDERATION WAS MADE FOR INTRODUCING AN ELEVATED RISK AREA TO
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CA COAST - NAMELY IN THE LEE OF THE SAN
GABRIEL AND SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS - WHERE DOWNSLOPE WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ABOVE 20 MPH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
TUESDAY LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN SEEING
SUFFICIENTLY WIDESPREAD SUB-20% RH AS WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE
REMAINS LIMITED DUE TO WEAK SIGNALS IN BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE. POCKETS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE, BUT MAY BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITHIN THE
THERMAL BELT WHERE RH WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY LOW. THESE FORECAST
CONCERNS PRECLUDED ADDING A RISK AREA AT THIS TIME.
..MOORE.. 11/17/2024
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1246 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2024/
..SYNOPSIS
A STRONG TROUGH WILL PROGRESS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. FLOW
ACROSS THE WEST WILL BECOME BROADLY CYCLONIC WITH THE STRONGEST FLOW
REMAINING ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE CALIFORNIA COAST. FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MINIMAL AS DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN REMOVED FROM THE DRIEST FUELS. WITH THE STRONG FLOW
ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST AND LOW-LEVEL RIDGING EXTENDING NORTH OF
THE TRANSVERSE RANGES, SOME STRONGER DOWNSLOPE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.
RH REDUCTIONS IN THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE TERRAIN COULD NEAR 20%
BRIEFLY. LOCALLY ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR MONDAY AFTERNOON
ALONG THE SANTA BARBARA COAST. OFFSHORE FLOW IN OTHER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL INCREASE TOWARDS TUESDAY MORNING. RH
REDUCTIONS DO NOT APPEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ELEVATED CONDITIONS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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