829
ACUS02 KWNS 180634
SWODY2
SPC AC 180633
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1233 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF STATES ON
TUESDAY.
..CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES
SOUTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST ON TUESDAY, AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EASTWARD INTO THE
REGION. A MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE
GULF COAST STATES, WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S F. AS SURFACE HEATING TAKES PLACE DURING THE DAY, THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FROM NEAR THE FRONT EASTWARD ACROSS THE MUCH
OF THE MOIST SECTOR. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAK, STRONG
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT, AND A FEW SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL EXIST IN
THE VICINITY OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST, WHERE THE COMBINATION OF
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE MAY BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT.
..BROYLES.. 11/18/2024
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