666
FNUS22 KWNS 181859
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 PM CST MON NOV 18 2024
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
AN ELEVATED RISK AREA HAS BEEN INTRODUCED TO PORTIONS OF WESTERN TO
CENTRAL SD/NE. WESTERLY GRADIENT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO
15-25 MPH (GUSTING BETWEEN 25-40 MPH) BY LATE AFTERNOON AS THE
SURFACE LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS MIGRATES INTO THE UPPER MS
RIVER VALLEY. WHILE RH VALUES WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT MARGINAL
(GENERALLY BETWEEN 25-35%), FUEL REPORTS FROM LOCAL NWS OFFICES AND
LAND AGENCIES SUGGEST FINE FUELS MAY SUPPORT FIRE SPREAD. HENCE, A
WIND-DRIVEN ELEVATED RISK AREA HAS BEEN ADDED TO HIGHLIGHT THE BEST
OVERLAP OF DRY FUELS AND STRONG WINDS. FORECAST DETAILS REGARDING
THE SOUTHERN CA COAST REMAIN ON TRACK AS OUTLINED IN THE DISCUSSION
BELOW.
..MOORE.. 11/18/2024
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1256 AM CST MON NOV 18 2024/
..SYNOPSIS
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE MOST INTENSE ON TUESDAY
MORNING WITHIN THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN. AN INCREASE IN OFFSHORE
WINDS IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING INTO
PERHAPS THE EARLY AFTERNOON. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL NOT BE OVERLY
FAVORABLE AS WELL. RH OF 15-20% DOES APPEAR PROBABLE, AT LEAST IN
THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE TERRAIN. WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS BEING
SOMEWHAT OFFSET FROM THE LOWEST RH, THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT
SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT BRIEF. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR, PARTICULARLY WITHIN THE TERRAIN-FAVORED AREAS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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