645
ACUS48 KWNS 230956
SWOD48
SPC AC 230955
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 AM CST MON DEC 23 2024
VALID 261200Z - 311200Z
..DISCUSSION
SEVERE-WEATHER POTENTIAL IS STILL EXPECTED FOR DAYS 4-6
THURSDAY-SATURDAY, AS AN UPPER TROUGH EMERGING FROM CALIFORNIA AND
THE SOUTHWEST DESERTS MOVES TOWARD THE OZARKS/DEEP SOUTH BY
THURSDAY/DAY 4. AT LEAST A LOW-END MULTI-DAY REGIONAL SEVERE RISK IS
EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS TOWARDS PARTS
OF THE ARKLATEX, AND POSSIBLY THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. IN
PARTICULAR, THURSDAY/DAY 4 COULD ULTIMATELY WARRANT SLIGHT
RISK-CALIBER SEVERE PROBABILITIES ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TO
EAST/SOUTHEAST TEXAS ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE VARIABILITY PERSISTS, WHILE
OBJECTIVE/MACHINE-LEARNING GUIDANCE GENERALLY ALSO PERSIST WITH
SUB-15 PERCENT PROBABILITIES.
..GUYER.. 12/23/2024
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