462
ACUS48 KWNS 261011
SWOD48
SPC AC 261010
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0410 AM CST THU DEC 26 2024
VALID 291200Z - 031200Z
..DISCUSSION
AT LEAST SOME SEVERE-WEATHER RISK IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY/DAY 4 ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST STATES AS AN UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
FROM THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS. VERY STRONG
DEEP-LAYER WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION, BUT GUIDANCE
VARIABILITY EXISTS REGARDING THE AVAILABILITY AND
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD EXTENT OF MINIMAL BUOYANCY, ESPECIALLY WITH
GFS/ECMWF-RELATED GUIDANCE DEPICTING THE POSSIBILITY OF CONSIDERABLE
SCATTERED CONVECTION ONGOING SUNDAY MORNING. REGIONAL AREAS
INCLUDING NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO SOUTHERN/EASTERN GEORGIA AND PARTS
OF THE CAROLINAS WILL CONTINUE TO BE REEVALUATED IN SUBSEQUENT
OUTLOOKS AS FAR AS SUNDAY'S SEVERE POTENTIAL, BUT AT LEAST
SOME/LOW-END SEVERE RISK SEEMS PROBABLE EVEN WITH THESE INSTABILITY
UNCERTAINTIES.
THEREAFTER, SEVERE-WEATHER POTENTIAL EARLY NEXT WEEK IS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW.
..GUYER.. 12/26/2024
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page