599  
ACUS01 KWNS 031257  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 031255  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0655 AM CST FRI JAN 03 2025  
 
VALID 031300Z - 041200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
SPORADIC LIGHTNING FLASHES MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER  
PARTS OF THE COASTAL PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.  
   
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION
 
 
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INLAND TODAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST.  
COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES (AROUND -24 TO -28 C AT 500 MB)  
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH, ALONG WITH MODESTLY STEEPENED LAPSE  
RATES ALOFT, SHOULD SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK INSTABILITY EVEN  
THOUGH DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE MUTED BY PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER.  
BEHIND A COLD FRONT, ISOLATED LIGHTNING FLASHES MAY OCCUR WITH  
GENERALLY LOW-TOPPED CELLS MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG  
PARTS OF THE OR COAST INTO NORTHERN CA. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS  
MAY OCCUR WITH THE MORE ROBUST CORES, ALTHOUGH LIMITED FORECAST  
INSTABILITY AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE A  
MEANINGFUL THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  
 
..GLEASON/BENTLEY.. 01/03/2025  
 

 
 
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