959
ACUS01 KWNS 070515
SWODY1
SPC AC 070514
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 PM CST MON JAN 06 2025
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS VERY LOW TODAY.
..DISCUSSION
MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT DIGS SOUTH ACROSS CA AND
OFF THE BAJA PENINSULA. THIS WILL ALLOW A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TO
SETTLE SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AND CLOSE OFF OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT/STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ACROSS AZ DO RESULT IN SOME MID-LEVEL
MOISTENING THAT LEADS TO VERY WEAK BUOYANCY; HOWEVER, FORECAST
SOUNDINGS DO NOT SUGGEST ADEQUATE INSTABILITY FOR ANY APPRECIABLE
RISK OF LIGHTNING WITH THE WEAK CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS THIS
REGION.
..DARROW/WENDT.. 01/07/2025
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