228
ACUS02 KWNS 080654
SWODY2
SPC AC 080653
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CST WED JAN 08 2025
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY FROM PARTS OF
CENTRAL TEXAS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN, AND
EASTWARD INTO FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. NO SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED.
..DISCUSSION
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL MOVE
INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON THURSDAY, AS SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL
FLOW REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AT LOW-LEVELS, A COLD AIRMASS
WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. OVER THE TOP OF
THIS AIRMASS, WARM ADVECTION WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN AS THE SYSTEM TO
THE WEST APPROACHES. AN ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO
CONSOLIDATE OVER THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN DURING THE DAY. LIFT AND
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE COULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ON THURSDAY
FROM THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY TO THE WESTERN GULF COAST HAVE
INSTABILITY PRIMARILY ABOVE 800 MB, WITH MUCAPE UP TO AROUND 100
J/KG. THIS COULD BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW ELEVATED STORMS, BUT NO SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED.
..BROYLES.. 01/08/2025
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