837
ACUS01 KWNS 091259
SWODY1
SPC AC 091258
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0658 AM CST THU JAN 09 2025
VALID 091300Z - 101200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
A LOW-LATITUDE POSITIVE-TILT UPPER TROUGH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND
NORTHWEST MEXICO WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION EASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT. A RELATED STRENGTHENING OF DEEP-LAYER
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, ATOP A
COOL AND STABLE AIR MASS AT THE SURFACE. WARM ADVECTION AND ELEVATED
MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE MAXIMIZED ACROSS BROAD PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN TO EAST TEXAS TODAY, AND INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TONIGHT. WEAK ELEVATED BUOYANCY WILL SUPPORT OCCASIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS. IT IS UNLIKELY THAT INSTABILITY WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH
FOR ANY HAIL RISK GIVEN POOR LAPSE RATES ALOFT.
..GUYER/BENTLEY.. 01/09/2025
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