866
ACUS01 KWNS 091628
SWODY1
SPC AC 091626
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CST THU JAN 09 2025
VALID 091630Z - 101200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT.
..DISCUSSION
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED LARGE-SCALE TROUGH WILL MOVE GRADUALLY EASTWARD
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS AND NORTHWEST MEXICO THROUGH THE
PERIOD, WHILE SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE IMPULSES OVERSPREAD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. A RELATED PLUME OF STRENGTHENING WARM ADVECTION
WILL SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH/CENTRAL AND EAST TX AND EVENTUALLY
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. WHILE THE SURFACE-BASED WARM
SECTOR WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE, STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES (AND WEAK
ELEVATED BUOYANCY) ATOP A STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL SUPPORT VERY
ISOLATED LIGHTNING FLASHES EMBEDDED IN A SWATH OF PRECIPITATION
OVERSPREADING THE REGION.
..WEINMAN.. 01/09/2025
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