018
ACUS11 KWNS 110328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110327
NCZ000-SCZ000-110600-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0034
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0927 PM CST FRI JAN 10 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS
CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN
VALID 110327Z - 110600Z
SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST ICE
ACCRETION RATES WILL BE IN THE EASTERN CAROLINAS FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
DISCUSSION...03Z MESOANALYSIS DEPICTS STRONG 925-850 MB WAA
ADVECTION OVERSPREADING THE CAROLINAS, LIKELY SUPPORTING
ABOVE-FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THIS LAYER, WHILE SURFACE
TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. THE AFOREMENTIONED
THERMODYNAMIC VERTICAL PROFILE SUPPORTS CONTINUED FREEZING RAIN
POTENTIAL, AS DEMONSTRATED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ON A WIDESPREAD
BASIS. THE PRIMARY BAND OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION (AND ASSOCIATED
HIGHER ICE ACCRETION RATES) IS RAPIDLY SHIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
EASTERN CAROLINAS. AS SUCH, .06 IN/3 H ICE ACCRETION RATES ARE MOST
LIKELY CLOSER TO THE COAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STILL, MRMS
MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS CONTINUED LIGHTER RAINFALL (LIKELY
FREEZING) STILL ONGOING AS FAR WEST AS THE IMMEDIATE LEE OF THE
APPALACHIANS. AS SUCH, AT LEAST LIGHT FREEZING RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE
FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS.
..SQUITIERI.. 01/11/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...
LAT...LON 33967767 33837903 33878082 34378200 35048216 35508176
36107965 36277778 36167691 35617616 35157631 34547688
33967767
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