174
ACUS02 KWNS 120554
SWODY2
SPC AC 120553
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 PM CST SAT JAN 11 2025
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE U.S. ON MONDAY.
HOWEVER, AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO MAY APPROACH THE
NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST GULF COAST.
..SYNOPSIS
MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP-LAYER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS
MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS ON MONDAY. A WEAK SURFACE
LOW/TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO,
WITH A WARM FRONT REMAINING OFFSHORE THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GULF
COAST. THIS WILL KEEP DEEPER BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE OFFSHORE.
HOWEVER, MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AMID A SATURATED THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILE IN THE MIDLEVEL WILL SUPPORT MINOR ELEVATED INSTABILITY
(GENERALLY LESS THAN 150 J/KG) FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER
EASTWARD TOWARD THE FL BIG BEND VICINITY. WHILE MOST THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE, A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY
APPROACH THE COAST OR NEAR-SHORE WATERS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED.
..LEITMAN.. 01/12/2025
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