249  
ACUS01 KWNS 121937  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 121935  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0135 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2025  
 
VALID 122000Z - 131200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED, BUT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
MAY OCCUR ALONG PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.  
 
...20Z UPDATE..  
NO CHANGES ARE NEED TO THE CURRENT D1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK. SEE  
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.  
 
..THORNTON/GLEASON.. 01/12/2025  
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 1010 AM CST SUN JAN 12 2025/  
   
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION
 
 
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGHING WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS  
TODAY, WITH MEAGER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LIMITING THUNDERSTORM  
POTENTIAL OVER A LARGE MAJORITY OF THE COUNTRY. ONE EXCEPTION MAY BE  
ALONG/NEAR THE COAST FROM FAR SOUTHEAST LA TO THE WESTERN FL  
PANHANDLE VICINITY. A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS  
THE NORTHWEST TO NORTH-CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT. INCREASING LOW-LEVEL  
MOISTURE AND WARM ADVECTION MAY SUPPORT WEAK MUCAPE AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH EARLY MONDAY  
MORNING. HOWEVER, IT STILL APPEARS LIKELY THAT APPRECIABLE  
SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY AND GREATER THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL  
REMAIN MOSTLY OFFSHORE.  
 

 
 
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