098  
ACUS01 KWNS 130544  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 130543  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1143 PM CST SUN JAN 12 2025  
 
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
 
 
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST LATER  
TODAY; HOWEVER, THE MAJORITY OF LIGHTNING WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE.  
   
..NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST
 
 
NEGLIGIBLE HEIGHT CHANGES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GULF BASIN TODAY  
WITHIN A BROAD WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME. EARLY IN THE PERIOD,  
VEERED LLJ WILL FOCUS ACROSS THE NORTHERN FL GULF COAST, AND THIS  
WILL ENCOURAGE WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION THAT WILL GRADUALLY SAG  
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD, ALONG/AHEAD OF A FRONTAL SURGE.  
BUOYANCY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUITE WEAK THROUGH THE PERIOD AS  
BOUNDARY-LAYER TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINTS WILL PROVE INADEQUATE FOR  
SBCAPE INLAND. WILL MAINTAIN LOW PROBABILITIES FOR LIGHTNING NEAR  
THE COAST, BUT THE MAIN RISK FOR A FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
LIKELY HOLD MOSTLY OFFSHORE THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 
..DARROW/SQUITIERI.. 01/13/2025  
 

 
 
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