442  
ACUS01 KWNS 131958  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 131957  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0157 PM CST MON JAN 13 2025  
 
VALID 132000Z - 141200Z  
   
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG/NEAR THE WESTERN FLORIDA GULF COAST  
TODAY.  
   
..20Z UPDATE  
 
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND ACARS  
SOUNDINGS INDICATE STABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER CONDITIONS ON LAND OVER THE  
WESTERN FLORIDA GULF COAST. THEREFORE, THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM  
HIGHLIGHTS HAVE BEEN CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS AND  
NEARSHORE WATERS.  
 
..WEINMAN.. 01/13/2025  
   
PREV DISCUSSION  
/ISSUED 1016 AM CST MON JAN 13 2025/  
   
..SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION  
 
LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION AHEAD OF A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE  
NORTHERN GULF WILL SUPPORT EASTWARD-DEVELOPING CONVECTION TODAY.  
MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE  
NORTHEAST GULF. STILL, A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD APPROACH PARTS OF  
THE WESTERN FLORIDA GULF COAST. WITH POOR LAPSE RATES ALOFT,  
INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL OVER LAND. ACCORDINGLY, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.  
 
 
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