680
ACUS02 KWNS 180511
SWODY2
SPC AC 180510
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1110 PM CST FRI JAN 17 2025
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY
ACROSS CENTRAL FL...
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE DAY ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA.
..CENTRAL FL DURING THE DAY SUNDAY
WITHIN A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS, AN EMBEDDED
MID-UPPER JET STREAK WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND OFF THE
ATLANTIC COAST, AS AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT PROGRESSES
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA DURING THE DAY. SOME INCREASE
IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE DAY,
WITH BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S. HOWEVER, MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE POOR AND BUOYANCY WILL
REMAIN LIMITED (MLCAPE WILL LIKELY PEAK IN THE 500-750 J/KG RANGE).
THE COMBINATION OF WEAK BUOYANCY AND SUFFICIENTLY LONG, RELATIVELY
STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS WILL SUPPORT LOW POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED STORMS
IN A BAND ALONG THE COLD FRONT, PERHAPS WITH STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS.
..THOMPSON.. 01/18/2025
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