057
ACUS11 KWNS 061453
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061452
VAZ000-WVZ000-KYZ000-061615-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0069
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0852 AM CST THU FEB 06 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KY INTO FAR WESTERN VA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 3...
VALID 061452Z - 061615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 3 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SOME THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND/OR A TORNADO MAY
CONTINUE INTO LATE MORNING.
DISCUSSION...A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING AN
APPARENT TORNADO AND LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS IS MOVING ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KY TOWARD WESTERN VA THIS MORNING. DIMINISHING INSTABILITY
WITH EASTWARD EXTENT AND A TENDENCY FOR A WEAKENING/VEERING
LOW-LEVEL JET (AS THE PRIMARY MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES AWAY)
SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL WEAKENING TREND WITH TIME AS STORMS MOVE
EASTWARD. HOWEVER, STRONG LOW/MIDLEVEL FLOW AND FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED CONVECTION THROUGH LATE
MORNING, WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT OF LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO ACROSS THE REMAINING PORTION OF WW 3, AND ALSO
POTENTIALLY INTO ADJACENT PARTS OF FAR WESTERN VA.
..DEAN.. 02/06/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...
LAT...LON 36948487 37388268 37438216 37398111 37008136 36788241
36658328 36628434 36658474 36948487
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