804  
ACUS11 KWNS 082322  
SWOMCD  
SPC MCD 082321  
MAZ000-RIZ000-NHZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-090315-  
 
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0077  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0521 PM CST SAT FEB 08 2025  
 
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND  
 
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW  
 
VALID 082321Z - 090315Z  
 
SUMMARY...LEADING CORRIDOR OF WINTER STORM ACROSS THE NORTHEAST WILL  
PRODUCE A HEAVY SNOW BAND BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SLEET/FREEZING  
RAIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR  
ARE LIKELY.  
 
DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING SWATH OF WINTER MIXED PRECIP WILL SPREAD  
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND STATES THROUGH THE  
REST OF THIS EVENING. STRENGTHENING LOW TO MID-LEVEL ASCENT WILL  
YIELD A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW ALONG THE LEADING PERIPHERY OF THIS  
PRECIP PLUME WHERE THE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE REMAINS ENTIRELY BELOW  
FREEZING. THE INITIAL SWATH SHOULD EMANATE OUT OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL  
PA/SOUTHWEST NY VICINITY, WHERE HEAVY SNOW HAS BEEN OBSERVED, AND  
SHOULD EXPAND EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NY TO PA/NJ BORDER AREA  
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A LONGER-LASTING DEFORMATION ZONE WITHIN  
THE COLD-CONVEYOR REGION SHOULD DEVELOP EAST FROM THE LAKE ERIE  
VICINITY AND MOVE ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL  
HOURS. A HIGHLY CONSISTENT SIGNAL PERSISTS ACROSS DAYTIME GUIDANCE  
WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR. THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE HEAVY  
SNOW SWATH TO ABOUT THE UPPER DE AND LOWER HUDSON VALLEYS SHOULD MIX  
WITH/TRANSITION TO SLEET/FREEZING RAIN LATER IN THE EVENING.  
 
..GRAMS.. 02/08/2025  
   
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
 
 
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...  
 
LAT...LON 40677327 41357478 41657603 41777768 42117911 42547929  
43117880 43417525 43287361 42927212 42647131 42087094  
41517107 40927210 40677327  
 
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