828
ACUS01 KWNS 091959
SWODY1
SPC AC 091957
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 PM CST SUN FEB 09 2025
VALID 092000Z - 101200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
..20Z
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THUNDERSTORM AREAS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST TO REFLECT RECENT TRENDS IN RADAR AND SATELLITE WITH
ONGOING CONVECTION. OTHERWISE, THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK REMAINS ON
TRACK. SEE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION.
..THORNTON/GUYER.. 02/09/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 1030 AM CST SUN FEB 09 2025/
..DISCUSSION
BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE CONUS TODAY, WITH
PREVALENT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS/MIDWEST AND A
PROMINENT FRONT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH. ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH INTO
MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON AS WARM-AIR ADVECTION ABATES. THUNDERSTORMS
MAY ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS DOWNSTATE PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EVENING NEAR THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT AND A WEAK
SURFACE WAVE. MODEST SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WILL EXIST MAINLY
ACROSS COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA IN THE PRESENCE
SEMI-STRAIGHT/ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS, BUT MODEST CONVERGENCE AND
RESIDUAL WARM LAYERS ALOFT ARE SUGGESTIVE OF A MINIMAL
SEVERE-WEATHER POTENTIAL.
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