428
ACUS01 KWNS 101620
SWODY1
SPC AC 101619
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST MON FEB 10 2025
VALID 101630Z - 111200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
..CENTRAL/NORTH TEXAS AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA/WESTERN ARKANSAS
BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CONUS WITH
GRADUAL TROUGH AMPLIFICATION OVER THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST,
GREAT BASIN AND LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. FOCUSED BY INCREASING
WARM ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT WITHIN THE ELEVATED FRONTAL
ZONE, THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL/EASTERN OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS, AND THEN MORE
BROADLY LATE TONIGHT IN A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST CORRIDOR ACROSS
NORTH/CENTRAL TEXAS TOWARD THE EDWARDS PLATEAU. WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL BE STRONG WITHIN THE CLOUD-BEARING LAYER, SEASONALLY MILD
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND RESIDUAL SUBSIDENCE-RELATED CAPPING IN
THE MID-LEVELS WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE MEANINGFUL HAIL POTENTIAL WITH
THIS ELEVATED CONVECTION.
..GUYER/MOORE.. 02/10/2025
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