409
ACUS03 KWNS 110815
SWODY3
SPC AC 110814
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2025
VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING INTO
PERHAPS THE AFTERNOON IN PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR IN COASTAL CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND PARTS OF
THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY. SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL CURRENTLY APPEARS
LOW.
..SYNOPSIS
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY THURSDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT IN
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHWEST GEORGIA. WITH FORCING FOR
ASCENT RAPIDLY LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE REGION, THE
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS LOW. AN ISOLATED
STRONG GUST COULD OCCUR INTO MID-MORNING, HOWEVER. FARTHER NORTH IN
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT PIEDMONT, STRONG FORCING
COULD PROMOTE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE PERIOD. AS THIS
ACTIVITY MOVES EASTWARD, IT SHOULD ENCOUNTER A COLD AIR WEDGE EAST
OF THE TERRAIN. NORTHWARD ADVECTION OF MOISTURE IS NOT LIKELY TO
OCCUR SUFFICIENTLY TO SUPPORT MUCH IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY OR
STRONG SURFACE GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM IMPACTS THE
REGION, STRONG FORCING AND COLD AIR ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
LIFT/BUOYANCY THAT WILL BE MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY COULD EXTEND INLAND INTO PARTS OF
THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY.
..WENDT.. 02/11/2025
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page