504
FNUS21 KWNS 111642
FWDDY1
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1041 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2025
VALID 111700Z - 121200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN NEW
MEXICO AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA...
ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO TODAY'S ELEVATED AND CRITICAL
AREAS. BASED ON THE LATEST HIGH-RESOLUTION DATA, IT APPEARS WIND
SPEEDS OF 25-30 MPH WILL EXTEND SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE NORTHWEST
NEAR THE SOUTHERN NM/AZ BORDER. THIS IS ALSO WHERE RELATIVE HUMIDITY
IN THE LOW TEENS WILL BE PRESENT BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE,
PLEASE SEE THE PREVIOUS FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL DETAILS.
..BARNES.. 02/11/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0113 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
WITHIN THE BASE OF A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH OVER THE WEST, AN EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRONG DEEP-LAYER WESTERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD
THE SOUTHWEST. IN RESPONSE, A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS BEFORE DRIFTING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NM.
..SOUTHWEST NM AND FAR SOUTHEAST AZ
SOUTH OF THE SURFACE LOW, A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL YIELD
25-30 MPH SUSTAINED WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS (WITH HIGHER
GUSTS) ACROSS SOUTHWEST NM AND FAR SOUTHEAST AZ. THESE WINDS WILL
COMBINE WITH A WARM/DRY ANTECEDENT AIR MASS (15-20 PERCENT AFTERNOON
RH), AND GIVEN MODESTLY DRY/RECEPTIVE FUELS, CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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