766
FNUS22 KWNS 111901
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 PM CST TUE FEB 11 2025
VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE TRANS-PECOS
A FEW MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE ELEVATED AND CRITICAL AREAS FOR
WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER TRANS-PECOS AND
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS (20 TO 40 MPH RESPECTIVELY), RELATIVE HUMIDITY
SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN NEAR 25-35 PERCENT. THEREFORE, THE CRITICAL
AREA WAS TRIMMED BACK SLIGHTLY FROM ITS NORTHWESTERN EXTENT. TO THE
EAST ACROSS PORTIONS THE PERMIAN BASIN, WESTERLY WINDS EXCEEDING 20
MPH WILL COMBINE WITH DECREASING RH INTO THE TEENS BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE ELEVATED AREA WAS EXTENDED EASTWARD TO ACCOMMODATE
THESE AFOREMENTIONED CONDITIONS, ALTHOUGH RECENT RAINFALL, LESS
RECEPTIVE FUELS, AND GOOD RH RECOVERY FURTHER EAST AND SOUTH OF HERE
SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL. PLEASE SEE THE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
..BARNES.. 02/11/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0114 AM CST TUE FEB 11 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
AN AMPLIFIED MIDLEVEL TROUGH ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS. AT THE SAME TIME,
A RELATED SURFACE LOW WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
..TX TRANS-PECOS
A MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT PERIPHERAL TO THE SURFACE LOW, COUPLED
WITH BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING INTO THE STRONG FLOW ALOFT, WILL FAVOR
20-30 MPH SUSTAINED WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS (WITH HIGHER GUSTS)
ACROSS SOUTHERN NM INTO WEST TX. OVER THE TX TRANS-PECOS, THESE
WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH 15 PERCENT AFTERNOON RH, AND GIVEN AT LEAST
MODESTLY RECEPTIVE FUELS, CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. DRY/BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXTEND FARTHER EAST INTO
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TX, THOUGH PRECEDING RAINFALL ATOP ALREADY
MARGINAL FUELS SHOULD LIMIT FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS HERE.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
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