780
ACUS11 KWNS 130046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130045
ALZ000-MSZ000-130215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0091
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 PM CST WED FEB 12 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN AL AND SOUTHEAST MS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 6...
VALID 130045Z - 130215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 6 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD PERSIST ALONG THE SURFACE
WARM FRONT, EXPANDING EAST OF TORNADO WATCH 6 INTO AN INITIALLY
CONFINED PORTION OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA.
DISCUSSION...A RECENTLY INTENSE SUPERCELL FROM WASHINGTON TO CLARKE
COUNTY, AL PRODUCED A POTENTIALLY STRONG TORNADO NEAR THE WAVY
SURFACE WARM FRONT. THIS BOUNDARY ARCS MORE EAST-NORTHEAST AHEAD OF
THIS CELL THROUGH WILCOX TO SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY, THEN PIVOTS
SOUTHEAST INTO BARBOUR COUNTY PER LATEST SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. 00Z
LIX SOUNDING SAMPLED A RATHER FAVORABLE SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT, AMPLY
BUOYANT WITH STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. ENHANCED VORTICITY ALONG THE
SLOW-MOVING FRONT WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TORNADO
POTENTIAL INTO LATE EVENING. WITH NEUTRAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHT CHANGE
THROUGH THE EVENING, THE NUMBER OF ADDITIONAL WARM-SECTOR SUPERCELLS
MAY BE LIMITED. THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE TORNADO THREAT WILL WANE
QUICKLY WHERE SURFACE DEW POINTS HOLD BELOW 65-66 F.
..GRAMS.. 02/13/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
LAT...LON 32558718 32638620 32548570 32338555 32008560 31758583
31628630 31548704 31468773 31298854 31208896 31198960
31498960 31818914 32198846 32558718
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