866
ACUS11 KWNS 130519
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130518
GAZ000-ALZ000-FLZ000-130645-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0093
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 PM CST WED FEB 12 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN AL...SOUTHWEST GA...WESTERN FL PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 6...7...
VALID 130518Z - 130645Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 6, 7 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...A LOWERING-PROBABILITY TORNADO AND STRONG WIND THREAT
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING.
DISCUSSION...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE ON A DOWNWARD
TRAJECTORY FROM EARLIER THIS EVENING WITH A LACK OF STRONGER,
SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF THE SLOW-MOVING WARM
FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM ELMORE TO RUSSELL COUNTY, AL. TRENDS IN MOB
VWP DATA REVEAL AN INCREASINGLY VEERED LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILE AND
0-1 KM SRH DECREASING TO AROUND 200 M2/S2. STILL, AT LEAST A
LOW-PROBABILITY TORNADO/WIND THREAT SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH EARLY
MORNING ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THIS FRONT AS CONVECTION PROGRESSES
EAST. THE NORTHEAST EXTENT OF THESE THREATS INTO GA WILL BE
MODULATED BY EVENTUAL OCCLUSION OF THE WARM-MOIST SECTOR IN
SOUTHWEST TO WEST-CENTRAL GA, AS THE CENTRAL AL SURFACE LOW DECAYS
AND WARM-SECTOR PRESSURE RISES INCREASE.
..GRAMS.. 02/13/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 32878588 32938554 32868519 32418461 31898442 31628463
31468513 31118586 30468683 30428757 30758775 31278766
31768715 32228669 32878588
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