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FNUS22 KWNS 141811
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1210 PM CST FRI FEB 14 2025
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
..NO CRITICAL AREAS
THE ELEVATED AREA WAS EXPANDED BASED ON THE MOST RECENT
HIGH-RESOLUTION FORECAST GUIDANCE. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
EXTEND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM THE
TRANS-PECOS INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TEXAS, WITH WIND GUSTS OF 25-50
MPH AND MINIMUM RH OF 12-25% EXPECTED. LOCALLY CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY IN PORTIONS OF THE ELEVATED AREA, BUT UNCERTAINTY EXISTS
REGARDING THE DURATION AND SPATIAL COVERAGE OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS
TO INTRODUCE A CRITICAL AREA.
..NAUSLAR.. 02/14/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0139 AM CST FRI FEB 14 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
A SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND DEEPEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON D2 - SATURDAY. MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE ONGOING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN/CENTRAL TEXAS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN US. FURTHER WEST ACROSS FAR WESTERN TEXAS, WINDY AND
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AMID A WARM/DRY WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW
REGIME. RELATIVE HUMIDITY REDUCTIONS TO 15-20 PERCENT AND SUSTAINED
WINDS 20-25 MPH WILL OVERLAP. RECENT FUEL GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST
THAT FUEL MOISTURE IS ABOVE NORMAL IN THIS REGION, THOUGH SOME
DRYING CAN BE EXPECTED ON D1 - FRIDAY. AS A FEW ADDITIONAL HOURS OF
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ON D2 -
SATURDAY, ADDITIONAL RESPONSE IN DRYING OF GRASSES AND FINE FUELS
WILL SUPPORT MAINTAINING AN ELEVATED RISK ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR
WESTERN TEXAS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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