876
FNUS22 KWNS 160738
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 AM CST SUN FEB 16 2025
VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
..SYNOPSIS
A DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ENHANCED WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT ON D2 - MONDAY
ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN SURFACE WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA INTO NEW MEXICO, AS WELL AS INTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS LEE TROUGHING STRENGTHENS AND SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPMENT OCCURS. FUELS ACROSS A REGION FROM FAR WESTERN TEXAS
INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO HAVE UNDERGONE DRYING WITH THE LAST PASSING
SYSTEM. ERCS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND THE 50TH-75TH PERCENTILE.
ACROSS SOUTHERN ARIZONA, VERY LITTLE RAINFALL/SNOWFALL HAS BEEN
OBSERVED, WITH ERCS ALSO NEAR THE 75TH PERCENTILE. HI-RES GUIDANCE
FROM THE HREF SUGGESTS LONGEST DURATION CRITICAL CONDITIONS WOULD BE
TIED TO FAVORED DOWNSLOPE REGIONS NEAR TERRAIN FEATURES. AS SUCH, AN
ELEVATED WAS MAINTAINED WITH THIS OUTLOOK BUT LOCALLY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..THORNTON.. 02/16/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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