050  
ACUS01 KWNS 180031  
SWODY1  
SPC AC 180030  
 
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
0630 PM CST MON FEB 17 2025  
 
VALID 180100Z - 181200Z  
   
..NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST  
 
   
..SUMMARY  
 
THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE TONIGHT.  
   
..DISCUSSION  
 
CONDITIONS WILL BE TOO DRY/STABLE FOR LIGHTNING-PRODUCING CONVECTION  
ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD. A LONE THUNDERSTORM  
OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR OVER WESTERN CO AMID SCANT BUOYANCY AND  
VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES PER THE 00Z GJT SOUNDING. WHILE AN ADDITIONAL  
STORM OR TWO MIGHT OCCUR IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, AMID MODERATE  
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT, PREDOMINATELY SUB-FREEZING THERMODYNAMIC  
PROFILES WITH EASTERN EXTENT ACROSS THE CO ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH  
PLAINS SHOULD LARGELY MITIGATE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.  
 
..GRAMS.. 02/18/2025  
 
 
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