608
ACUS02 KWNS 190553
SWODY2
SPC AC 190551
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2025
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
..NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST
..SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY IN PARTS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. A SEVERE THREAT IS NOT
EXPECTED.
..DISCUSSION
AT MID-LEVELS ON THURSDAY, A TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS, AS A FETCH OF SOUTHWEST FLOW STRENGTHENS ALONG
THE EAST COAST. AT THE SURFACE, A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL PLAINS. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SURFACE
DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 50S F ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC,
WHERE WEAK DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS NEAR THE
MOIST AXIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA HAVE MUCAPE
PEAKING AROUND 250 J/KG. AS THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL JET
PASSES BY, 0-6 KM SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE IN THE 80 TO 90 KNOT
RANGE. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
TOO WEAK FOR A SEVERE THREAT.
ELSEWHERE, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF A
SHORTWAVE MID-LEVEL TROUGH, ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. NO SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
CONTINENTAL U.S. THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 03/19/2025
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