664
FNUS22 KWNS 191938
FWDDY2
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2025
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...
A FEW UPDATES WERE NEEDED TO THE D2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK.
THE CRITICAL AREA ACROSS WESTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
WAS EXPANDED EASTWARD TO INCLUDE MORE OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. THIS WAS IN ALIGNMENT WITH
RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH BRINGS STRONGER WINDS ACROSS THESE
REGION THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO
EXPAND THE ELEVATED FURTHER ACROSS THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
SOUTH INTO SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS IN LINE WITH THESE TRENDS AS WELL.
A CRITICAL AREA WAS ADDED ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH
THIS OUTLOOK. ACROSS THIS REGION, RELATIVE HUMIDITY REDUCTIONS TO
25-30 PERCENT WILL OVERLAP SUSTAINED WESTERLY FLOW AROUND 10-15 MPH.
A BROAD ELEVATED REGION WAS INCLUDED FROM THE CENTRAL PENINSULA
EASTWARD TO THE COAST. THE BEST OVERLAP OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS LOOKS
TO BE ACROSS THE EASTERN PENINSULA FROM THE ORLANDO METRO SOUTH TO
THE GOLD COAST AND MIAMI METRO.
..THORNTON.. 03/19/2025
PREV DISCUSSION
/ISSUED 0143 AM CDT WED MAR 19 2025/
..SYNOPSIS
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON
THURSDAY FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS THROUGH
THE DAY THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF THE STRONG SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY
OVER THE PLAINS AND ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT. MEANWHILE ALOFT, A
RELATIVELY LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER WAVE WILL BEGIN IMPINGING ON THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES, RESULTING IN MODEST LEE TROUGHING FROM THE
NORTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. WEST/SOUTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST OF THE LEE TROUGH, RESULTING IN
DRY/WINDY CONDITIONS FROM EASTERN MT AND WY SOUTHWARD INTO NM AND
SOUTHWEST TX. DOWNSLOPE WARMING/DRYING WILL SUPPORT RH VALUES IN THE
TEENS ACROSS MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS WITH THE LOWEST RH (5-15%)
EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NM GIVEN ANTECEDENT DRY CONDITIONS.
SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH APPEAR LIKELY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NM
WHERE FUELS REMAIN DRY AND LIMITED PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS. WEAKER WINDS WITH SOUTHWARD EXTENT WILL LIMIT THE
POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS, BUT WINDS IN THE BETWEEN 15-20
MPH WILL STILL SUPPORT AREAS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
FURTHER NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY, BUT ONGOING RAIN/SNOW WILL
LIKELY MITIGATE FUEL DRYNESS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
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