305
ACUS11 KWNS 200305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200304
OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-200430-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0252
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA...SOUTHWESTERN OHIO...AND A
SMALL PORTION OF NORTHERN KENTUCKY
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 59...
VALID 200304Z - 200430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 59
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE RISK CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE WW
AREA.
DISCUSSION...RADAR DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
CONVECTIVE INTENSITY WITH STORMS MOVING ACROSS INDIANA/WW 69 OVER
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS COINCIDES WITH AN ASSOCIATED,
GRADUAL DECREASE IN BUOYANCY, WITH RAP-BASED OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS NOW
SHOWING MIXED-LAYER CAPE BELOW 500 J/KG ACROSS THE WW AREA, AND EVEN
LESS WITH EASTWARD EXTENT TOWARD CENTRAL OHIO.
EXPECTATIONS CONTINUE TO BE THAT STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN, AND THUS RISK FOR SEVERE-CALIBER GUSTS WANING. WHILE LOCAL
WW EXTENSION IN AREA MAY BE CONSIDERED FOR A COUPLE OF COUNTIES IN
WESTERN OHIO, OVERALL RISK SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE EVENING.
..GOSS.. 03/20/2025
..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...LMK...
LAT...LON 38448486 38808507 40208407 40658308 40228286 38528398
38448486
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